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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
Together with the weigh-ins finish, TJ looks sharp and has shown himself well ready for the 125lb branch. On the toes he should have an important advantage over Cejudo. The length of TJ, combined with his unorthodox fashion, will allow him to land serious volume contrary to the limited wrestler. Furthermore leg kicks will be a mortal option against front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will be needing takedowns and important top control if he is to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more harmful grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should limit Cejudo’s chances to shoot and on the ground he is going to be hard to control for long periods. Overall the road to victory appears slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who carries good cardio and far superior volume to win more than 5 rounds. The bet will be TJ Dillashaw to function as double champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both these fighters have some defects to their match but stylistically this is a winnable fight for the underdog. On the feet Vanzant is more pliable but likely faster with more quantity. Ostovich has a simpler fashion but neither fighter is very likely to land substantial harm . The size and strength of Ostovich will be a significant advantage on the earth where the two girls have a tendency to bring the fight. Vanzant is tenacious but takes risky choices and leaves a lot of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise here and her superior control means she will spend much more time on shirt or at dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth fight where we get excellent value about the underdog odds.
Bet = Ostovich in 2.35 (+135) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski that the”Violence Queen” is creating her debut after an impressive run as the KSW champion. Matching up using Calderwood she has the benefit in many areas. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will probably be overwhelming for Calderwood who lacks speed and head movement. This fight is most likely to play out on the toes but even on the mat it is Lipski with the far better abilities. Calderwood is coming off a”lucky” submission win in a fight where she had been having a lot of trouble. Over her career she has been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and look for a way out. Lipski though appears to be quite durable and struggles with heart. At 24 years old she will be revealing substantial improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Components to win 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs to get an unlikely matchup against an increasing prospect. Hernandez brings a design that’s proven against Cowboy together with his fast start and constant pressure. Whether this battle goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone from the fence and securing takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to success is snatching a entry off his back but that’s a little chance against a powerful wrestler. The energy, athleticism, childhood and style of Hernandez is going to be a lot for the veteran to handle with only 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter and the fall back to 155lb is unlikely to assist his durability problems.
Bet = Hernandez at 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
This is a rematch fight from the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won via conclusion. Today it’s Ortiz who has proven the newest improvements in his sport, now riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a leading contender but does look like he is slightly declining in his recent appearances. For example an underdog Ortiz has a couple of avenues to victory. He will be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of quantity, but packs considerable power. Benavidez has been wobbled consistently lately fights indicating his durability is fading. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the struggle as Ortiz brings a constant grinding speed. This should be a close fight that looks to be lined too wide.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is going up as a late replacement to take on the tough veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed substantially to his later years and together with his durability fading his lack of head movement is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not famous for his striking yet found huge success himself on the feet in his final fight against Glover. The clear issue for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he should be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may find some takedowns but if he doesn’t get an early submission it will be tough to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can’t get it to the mat his options seem bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a solid bet.
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