NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two fast 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Dragon Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races in this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to accumulate another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix chances after a solid start to his season that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 selections, make sure you check at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and current results into consideration.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, such as correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at a week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.

Grew up around race tracks. Events at places like ISM Raceway are in his blood. His version has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can tell you the model is high on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 25-1 NASCAR chances. He’s a goal for anyone searching for a huge payday.

Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win last year and proceeded to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to a 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has shown impressive speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was second in one of this year’s Daytona Duels and closed out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place finish at Homestead. He’ll also come equipped into the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar vehicle setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among the shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix picks from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the very best Vegas favourite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the pack consistently at this particular track. In fact, he has finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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