This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Canada. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to win a great deal of money from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place price and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I will attempt to get my 2nd chair this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at that $25k decoration, then I will probably take a few shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is by far the safest play in the board this week and she has 100+ stage upside. She’s a lock in my money matches this week and I actually don’t really see how she loses. I believe a entry could be Moras’ best chance but she is not very capable of getting the battle to the floor, so I see her becoming dominated on the toes before the ref measures. She is by far my favourite play at the $9k range and she’s a -750 on the betting line. I enjoy playing it safer in cash games and I believe she is a safe triumph this week.
GPP play of this week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is a simple one for me this week and he’ll be the chalk of the week. I’ll still be obese on Merab though. His style is precisely what we want on DraftKings. He’s got a nonstop speed and he shoots takedowns very often. He’s 22 landed takedowns in his first 3 UFC fights and that is his very best path to victory in this matchup as well. Despite two losses on his album out of those 3 conflicts, he still averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This isn’t my GPP play of the week because I understand he’s going to win, I just know IF he wins that he will score highly, and he should easily reach value within an $8.6k price .
Underdog drama of the week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
I have to pick Cowboy as the dog of the week. His struggles are always action packed along with the winner of this fight will surely be about the first-place lineup. Especially if it is Cowboy. He always scores over 100 points in his wins and he’s 5-rounds to use here. I don’t see a circumstance where he wins and does not wind up about the $25k lineup. I’ll be overweight on Cowboy this week, however this really is an all-in struggle for me. If Cowboy is not in a one of my lineups, then you are going to see Iaquinta there. I will be heavier on the Cowboy side though and I believe he gets the work done by submission.
Fade of this week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be quite surprised to see Theodorou on the 1st location lineup this week. I would be surprised to see him get 10x his $8k cost and that is the reason why I have zero lineups together with this week. Not counting his fight with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins before that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is simply bad for DraftKings. He is going to have to knock Brunson out if he is going to score tremendously and he is not a power puncher. I think you’re better off carrying Elias by TKO on the gambling line at +870. I really don’t see any reason to invest in this week in GPPs because he doesn’t possess the ceiling we want to win that large $25k. I believe he is fine in cash games as a 65-point win wouldn’t kill us there. But he is a simple fade of the week for me this Saturday.
Thank you for reading this and great luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and also provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I’m 71-45 to get +233.79u (+$23,379) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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